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Flops 2026-01-28

GW24 Current Flops: Big Names, Big Prices — and Tiny Returns

FPL Admin

FPL Elite Analyst

Introduction

Gameweek 24 is where FPL squads start to feel the squeeze: premium slots matter, and high-ownership picks can’t hide when they’re bleeding value through poor form. Below are the standout Current Flops — players who are expensive, widely owned, and underperforming recently — with a blunt, data-driven call on whether to Hold or Sell.


The GW24 Current Flops (High Price + High Ownership + Low Form)

1) Phil Foden (Man City) — £8.5m, 19.2% owned

Why he’s here:

  • Form: 1.8 (low)
  • Price: £8.5m (not a budget mid)
  • Ownership: 19.2% (high enough to hurt rank if he suddenly hauls)
  • Transfer trend: 596,797 transfers out vs 2,871 in (mass sell-off)

Underlying data check:

  • xGI: 8.47 (xG 4.95 + xA 3.52) — suggests decent attacking involvement over the season
  • Points: 102 | Points per game: 4.9
  • ICT Index: 150.0 (strong)

Verdict: HOLD (cautious)

  • The form is bad, but his xGI (8.47) and elite ICT (150.0) indicate he’s still getting into the right areas.
  • The transfer exodus is a warning sign, yet it can also create an opportunity: if you sell and he returns, you’re exposed to a 19.2% EO-style punishment.

Best-fit managers to hold:

  • Those who can bench him for one week without forcing hits.
  • Those prioritising underlying numbers over short-term form.

2) Hugo Ekitiké (Liverpool) — £8.8m, 25.0% owned

Why he’s here:

  • Form: 1.0 (as low as it gets)
  • Price: £8.8m (premium-forward territory)
  • Ownership: 25.0% (massively owned)
  • Transfer trend: 238,824 transfers out vs 30,641 in (heavy selling)

Underlying data check:

  • xGI: 8.14 (xG 6.45 + xA 1.69) — chances have been there
  • Points: 87 | Points per game: 4.3
  • Bonus: 16 (respectable)
  • ICT Index: 107.8 (solid, not elite)

Verdict: SELL

  • The biggest issue is the combination of very low form (1.0) and very high price (£8.8m). That’s a lot of budget tied up for very little recent output.
  • Even with xGI 8.14, you’re paying for goals that haven’t turned into points lately, and the market is already voting with its feet (huge net transfers out).

Sell rationale in one line:

  • At £8.8m, you need reliability — and form 1.0 isn’t it.

3) Mohamed Salah (Liverpool) — £14.0m, 14.3% owned

Why he’s here:

  • Form: 1.0 (brutal)
  • Price: £14.0m (ultra-premium; the opportunity cost is enormous)
  • Ownership: 14.3% (still significant)
  • Points: 69 (low for his price bracket)

Underlying data check:

  • xGI: 7.94 (xG 5.00 + xA 2.94) — decent, but not screaming dominance for £14.0m
  • ICT Index: 129.5 (strong)
  • Points per game: 4.6
  • Bonus: 5 (low for a premium)
  • Transfer trend: 6,282 out vs 9,486 in (small net positive)

Verdict: SELL (unless you’re protecting rank)

  • The harsh truth: £14.0m + form 1.0 is a squad anchor in GW24 if you need upgrades elsewhere.
  • His underlying numbers are okay (xGI 7.94), but they don’t justify the premium right now — and the low bonus (5) adds to the frustration when returns are scarce.
  • The slight net transfers in suggests some managers are backing the bounce, but the data here doesn’t demand blind faith.

When holding makes sense:

  • If you believe your squad structure collapses without him (captaincy plans, flexibility).
  • If you’re defending a lead and want to avoid a painful swing from a low-owned premium.

Quick GW24 Decision Summary

  • Phil Foden (£8.5m): HOLD — elite ICT and strong xGI despite poor form.
  • Hugo Ekitiké (£8.8m): SELL — form 1.0 at that price with heavy selling pressure.
  • Mohamed Salah (£14.0m): SELL (conditional) — too expensive for current output; hold only if structure/risk demands it.

Conclusion

Gameweek 24 is a moment to be ruthless with budget. Form matters, but so does value, and these three are currently failing the cost-to-output test. If you’re cutting one flop, prioritise the player who frees up the most funds without sacrificing convincing underlying numbers — and remember: it’s not about hating big names, it’s about buying points.